I’ve been pondering on the likely outcome of world wide climate change recently. Partly egged on by the continuing bleak predictions of James Lovelock, and then again by the news this week that scientists are warning the ‘two degree’ climate change target is unlikely to be met.
According to Lovelock, it’s already too late. We may as well give up on the weak attempts to cut down carbon emmissions, and get ready for the coming disaster. According to more conservative scientists we have 50 years to save the planet – but that will be a huge task.
So here’s the question – one of the reasons I bang on about climate change is that I fear it will have terrible implications for the poor of the world – but will this really be the case?
If millions of people are to die in the next century, will they be those who are used to living in poverty and hunger, with the spectre of disease hanging over them all the time? Or will they be those used only to living in comfort, with no experience of finding their own food, living out doors, having limited access to healthcare?
Could it be that the vulnerable ones are those of us in the west? Somehow I doubt its as simple as that, for a start there will be the most significant rise in disease and desertification in the hotter parts of the world, and that doesnt apply to us. But it does make you think though… no oil, a breakdown in the supply chains we’ve always relied upon, a hike in the price of healthcare and basic foodstuffs… not looking good.
Kyb should be alright though – he’s learning stick fighting.